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Thought this was interesting. Across 160 teams of researchers, just about all failed to make good life outcome predictions on things like GPA, evictions, layoffs, and others. Data followed 4.5k families across 15 years, with 13k features (varied over time). Haven't looked at it directly yet, but will be turning the docs and data inside out... In the meantime, authors claim this as showing the limits of ML. Oh, and it's published in PNAS, so you know there's some big publication energy there.
https://www.pnas.org/content/117/15/8398
I was in the final stages of an interview with Microsoft two weeks ago, in partner marketing. Then the recruiter told me they were putting the hiring process on hold to assess the need for the role. Well, then we heard about Microsoft layoffs last week. Seems like most were in Xbox and Project Alpha but there’s not a lot of information out there. Should I hold out any hope that I’m going to get this job? Any insights on how much these layoffs have impacted the marketing org and/or new hiring?
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Didn’t realize crypto had MLK Jr sales too! 🤑💰
Happy Weekend fellow dog lovers!

What’re UX designers making at big tech?
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Any family lawyers here?
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It’s hard to get fired as a career federal employee of any kind
It depends heavily on management and the employee. I worked in one office with a guy who had been with the agency for decades and very openly did next to no work. He knew all the tricks to fight back against PIPs and adverse employment actions. Management basically decided it was more work to fire him than to work around him, and just dumped easy-to-measure doc review on him.
I've also been in offices where management truly is going to treat the probationary period as a test and you need to measure up or leave. A lot of managers don't do that though.
Once probationary is over, odds are you're pretty safe. Easier to just try to make you quit with bad assignments or something than to actually fire
The one huge exception is timecard fraud. You get caught for that, it's over.
I’ve read this before — I always keep accurate time, but what exactly is timecard fraud? Putting down hours not worked obviously. But have always been curious if people meant literally any time inaccuracy by this phrase (for example, forgot you were remote half of one day, and put down 8 hours in office versus 4 office, 4 remote — does it extend to smaller things like this?) In my office at least, I know people who leave 1-2 hours early to get kids but work from home to make up that lost time; they still put down a full 8 hours in-office that day because it’s not one of their designated remote days. Hard to imagine that is encompassed in the timecard fraud definition, although it’s certainly inaccurate.
Once you’re a tenured employee, absent actual malfeasance, very difficult to get fired. There’s a reason why people joke about getting sent to Alaska, etc.
What would you *hypothetically* be doing go potentially warrant termination?
Like a lot of blow. I mean like a lot.
You're losing all dictation and legislation buddy very much so and there's debauchery in the whole nine yards it goes with it defaming defrauding all of it negligence wake up